covid-19-the-economist-global-excess-deaths-model
mcculley
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covid-19-the-economist-global-excess-deaths-model
- 15 states seeing 'high' or 'very high' levels of respiratory illness: CDC
- “‘Natural” Disasters
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#1999 - Robert Kennedy Jr.
It doesn’t have to be just a ‘coincidence’ though; seems bizarre to completely ignore something else that was occurring during this time—the Covid pandemic? If we look at the excess mortality, it showed a temporal correlation with Covid waves/mortality, and no temporal correlation with vaccine uptake. Same USA plot for age 18-64. The UK data also showed lower excess mortality in 2021 (all-cause, non-Covid, and Covid). On Euromomo you can plot z-scores for evidence of excess mortality over time by country, here are the plots for 15-44, and all ages. It doesn’t seem like there was excess mortality in the 15-44 age bracket (maybe except Hungary), or vaccine-related excess mortality, but it does appear there was pandemic-related excess. There are also data from many other countries you can check, e.g. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates, and the latest plots with Covid mortality and vaccine uptake available for 100 countries. In various countries it doesn’t look like there’s a temporal correlation with excess. Various countries like Australia, NZ, Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea, Hong Kong, Norway and more (mostly countries that were Zero/low-Covid and highly vaccinated) had little to no (or even negative) excess mortality. That doesn’t really reconcile with the possibility of vaccine-related excess, but it’s compatible with pandemic-related excess. The claim/narrative that the excess mortality may somehow be related to or driven by vaccination just seems really difficult to reconcile with the data.
- TIL after the attack on Pearl Harbor, the USS West Virginia battleship was salvaged six months later. During the salvage operation, a calendar was discovered in an airtight room indicating three sailors survived for another 16 days after the event.
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The Explosive Legacy of the Pandemic Hand Sanitizer Boom
> The obvious fearmongering and irrationality, especially from so-called "experts", was quite intense and prolific in Canada, too.
So much death and suffering and bereavement and sorrow the scale of which I have never witnessed in my entire life and I still read comments like these. Baffling!
A more serious take: excess deaths worldwide put us at 20+ millions deaths [1].
[1] https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-...
- PhD Looks into Avian Flu and is "really scared".
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Our model suggests that global deaths remain 5% above pre-Covid forecasts
It might be worth generating a version that excludes Russia and Ukraine.
https://github.com/TheEconomist/covid-19-the-economist-globa...
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Illinois man was a Covid skeptic from the beginning and reposted all anti-Fauci posts he received. Because he beat Covid in October 2021, he thought he was immune. Unfortunately he caught Covid again in December 2022, and was in and out of the hospital until he passed in May 2023.
The official numbers in Russia are pure bullshit. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates is a better estimate.
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WHO downgrades COVID pandemic, says it's no longer emergency
Btw if we look at the excess mortality data, it showed a pretty good temporal correlation with Covid waves/mortality. Similar with UK data. There are also data from many other countries available, e.g. Economist, and latest plots for 100 countries. This would seem to reconcile with bodies like the USA CDC, UK ONS etc. claiming that the vast majority (>85%) of C19 deaths has C19 as the underlying cause.
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I know the vaccinated lurk here all day long hoping for a gotcha moment that’ll never come, but I have a question for the vaccinated.
There are also data from many other countries you can check, e.g. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates. Here are the latest plots with Covid mortality and vaccine uptake for 100 countries. In various countries it doesn’t look like there’s a temporal correlation with excess. Various countries like Australia, NZ, Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea, Hong Kong, Norway and more (mostly countries that were Zero-Covid/low-Covid, highly vaccinated, and relatively less affected by the pandemic) that had little to no (or even negative) excess mortality. This doesn’t really reconcile with the possibility of vaccine-related excess, but it’s compatible with pandemic-related excess. The claim/narrative that the excess mortality may somehow be related to or driven by vaccination seems a really difficult one to reconcile with the data.
mcculley
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The Economist tracks excess deaths
Thank you. I did not imagine anyone would actually like the layout/UI. I have been looking for input on how to improve it.
The site itself is just handcoded HTML: https://github.com/mcculley/mcculley.github.io/blob/master/V...
The polar area diagrams are generated by Java code I wrote for this purpose: https://github.com/mcculley/ObservedDeathVisualizer
The bar charts and the line graph are generated by Datawrapper (https://app.datawrapper.de) using the CSVs exported by the aforementioned code.
What are some alternatives?
covid-19-excess-deaths-tracker - Source code and data for The Economist's covid-19 excess deaths tracker
coronavirus-dashboard - Dashboard for tracking Coronavirus (COVID-19) across the UK
covid-pass-verifier - The COVID Pass Verifier app is the official NHS COVID Pass Verifier for England and Wales. NHS COVID Pass Verifier app is a secure way to scan an individual’s NHS COVID Pass and check that they have been fully vaccinated against COVID-19, had a negative test, or have recovered from COVID-19.
duckduckgo-locales - Translation files for <a href="https://duckduckgo.com"> </a>
COVID-19 - Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Cases, provided by JHU CSSE
covariants - Real-time updates and information about key SARS-CoV-2 variants, plus the scripts that generate this information.
covid-19-excess-deaths-track
covid-19-data - A repository of data on coronavirus cases and deaths in the U.S.
covid-19-data - Data on COVID-19 (coronavirus) cases, deaths, hospitalizations, tests • All countries • Updated daily by Our World in Data
covid-19-the-economist-globa
owid-static - Auto-generated static pages of the full ourworldindata.org site.
schnelltesttest.de