covariants VS PHES-ODM

"Publicly available data on the number of analyzed sequences over two-week windows for each country were extracted from covariants.org and Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data (GISAID) initiative databases [3, 4]."

This process has produced thousands of variants already, and a considerable number that have bypassed immunity to previous variants. https://covariants.org/

I've also found covariants to be pretty useful, especially if you're looking at other countries

Variants: As of June 13th, Canada is 56% BA.2, 29% BA.2.12.1,10% BA.5, and 5% BA.4. Although BA.4 and BA.5 are not yet dominant in Canada, they are rapidly replacing BA.2 and BA.2.12.1 as they were each at 2% on the last reporting of May 30th thus representing a ~>3x increased prevalence within that short period of time. As the growth of BA.4 and BA.5 is following an exponential growth pattern, I expect that in the next reporting (June 30th) they will both be dominant. I think it's safe to say that they are already dominant though based on this. Source: https://covariants.org/

A lot of scientists said that using an mRNA vaccine against a coronavirus was completely stupid to begin with. That mass vaccination would favor immune evasion and render the vaccines worthless. And that's exactly what happened. You can see that very clearly on covariants.org . We were lucky, the new variants were a lot less deadly than the old ones. If a variant like Marseille 4 popped up and took over, it would have been a slaughter. We gave it a shot. We saw very clearly that it didn't work, and moreso, that it was dangerous to use a mass vaccination strategy for a virus that mutates and recombines a lot. Cause as immune evasion occurs, and the vaccine shows to be a lot less efficient than we hoped, this makes people at risk just as vulnerable as before.

So it's not really hoping for the best. It's using the best tools we have to reach herd immunity, both natural and artificial. The problem when we mass vaccinate, with mRNA vaccines that focus on a spike, is that variants that can circonvolute the immunity put in place by the vaccine, have it a lot easier than before to take over. You can see this in the data on covariants.org very clearly. This renders the vaccine a lot less effective as those variants have no natural competition. Thus putting the people that really need the vaccine, the people at risk, in a lot more danger, even vaccinated. This is why a lot of experts advised since the start to not mass vaccinate like we did. Sadly they weren't heard.

Viruses are part of our eco-system. We evolve in a world with viruses, bacteria, etc... This means there is natural competition between them. And if you mass vaccinate people against a virus, like the original strain of covid from Wuhan, this makes that particular variant disappear. The variants that can circonvolute the immunity put in place by the vaccine have a lot more chances to take over as they don't have natural competition with the original strain. If you go on a website like covariants.org, you can see that variants take over a lot faster now than they did before the vaccination. Because they have a lot more freedom. These are phenomena that we already witnessed in vaccination of intensively bred chickens and that are well studied. This is why even scientifical authorities, that are part of the consensus and the official voices for the government and the scientific community, like Fauci or Delfraissy, had concerns since the start of the vaccine rollout about this. However, it was worth a shot. Since then, we learned that those doubts were founded. Yet we still prone mass vaccination as some kind of panacea against the pandemic.

The poop chart had four new data points added, but three of which were flagged for data concern.

There's been a new column added to the raw data, a boolean called dataConcern. These are the only days it is set to true:

Poop chart has updated with four new days of data. The March 10 data point was a new single daily record, 2205µ. Then the three days after that were all in the 100s, which is much lower than we've seen recently. It comes out in the wash to an average of about 511µ that will be on 613covid later, but overall the numbers are still trending down, if that makes sense.

Apologies, I misread your post assuming it was about the timeliness of the poop chart data (the most recent measurement is from Mar. 9th) and replied with the update schedule of the source data.

Will be interesting to see the local update today - it was way higher than the province yesterday. Newest wastewater data point for Mar 3 is 840µ, which will lead to a "7-day" average of 717µ posted later today on 613covid.

Local update is published, OPH is reporting 80 new cases today. Overall, they've reported 53 more cases cumulatively than the province. The latest wastewater data point is also published, it is 775µ for March 2nd - for an average of 549µ that will be published later today on 613covid. This average is skewed slightly by the lack of data point for Feb 25.

Wastewater levels continue to be a bit concerning. Data points for Feb 28 and Mar 1 have been added - Feb 28 is 795µ and Mar 1 is 465µ. The average number that will be posted on 613covid later today is going to be 467µ. This average is only based on 5 days of data since there is none for Feb 25 and Mar 2, so that Feb 28 data point is going to inflate the number a bit more than if there was complete data. That being said, the overall trend is still pretty clearly increasing.

There hasn't been new data uploaded since before the weekend so there's not a whole lot of data there. With that being said, new data was uploaded this morning that will show up on 613covid this afternoon, and it doesn't look concerning.

A couple more days of data added, so we'll actually get a proper 7-day average for once. 340.71µ will be the posted number later.

There's been a dump (haha get it?) of poop chart data committed this morning, the number that will be on 613covid later is 332.5µ