intelligent-trading-bot
statsforecast
| intelligent-trading-bot | statsforecast | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | 58 | |
| 745 | 3,565 | |
| - | 2.7% | |
| 8.5 | 8.9 | |
| about 1 month ago | 6 days ago | |
| Python | Python | |
| MIT License | Apache License 2.0 |
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intelligent-trading-bot
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TimeGPT-1
I agree that the conventional (numeric) forecasting can hardly benefit from the newest approaches like transformers and LLMs. I made such a conclusion while working on the intelligent trading bot [0] by experimenting with many ML algorithms. Yet, there exist some cases where transformers might provide significant advantages. They could be useful where the (numeric) forecasting is augmented with discrete event analysis and where sequences of events are important. Another use case is where certain patterns are important like those detected in technical analysis. Yet, for these cases much more data is needed.
[0] https://github.com/asavinov/intelligent-trading-bot Intelligent Trading Bot: Automatically generating signals and trading based on machine learning and feature engineering
- intelligent-trading-bot: NEW Other Models - star count:567.0
- intelligent-trading-bot: NEW Other Models - star count:494.0
statsforecast
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TimeGPT-1
I can't find the TimeGPT-1 model.
LICENSE Apache-2
https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast/blob/main/LICENSE
Mentions ARIMA, ETS, CES, and Theta modeling
- Facebook Prophet: library for generating forecasts from any time series data
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Sales forecast for next two years
If you only have historical data: StatsForecast
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Time series and cross validation
I also recommend you check Nixtla's libraries, in particular StatsForecast and HierarchicalForecast. They offer a wide selection of forecasting models, and can work with multiple time series. Given that you're working with many products in a warehouse, I think the hierarchical forecast can be very useful, especially for the short time series (the ones that don't seem to have enough time stamps).
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Demand Planning
If you are mostly worried about time and use python you could try out Nixtla's statsforecast as it is very snappy. https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast
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Statistical vs Machine Learning vs Deep Learning Modeling for Time Series Forecasting
I was researching about using deep learning for time series forecasting applications when I came across two experiments by the Nixtla team. They showed that their traditional statistical ensemble (comprised of AutoARIMA, ETS, CES, and DynamicOptimizedTheta) beat a bunch of deep learning models (link) and also the AWS forecast API (link).
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Recommendations for books on working with time series/forecasting problems?
- https://nixtla.github.io/statsforecast/
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XGBoost for time series
Leaving these two repos here for anyone interested in trying decision tree regression or statistical forecasting baselines: - https://nixtla.github.io/mlforecast/ - https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast
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[Discussion] Amazon's AutoML vs. open source statistical methods
In this reproducible experiment, we compare Amazon Forecast and StatsForecast a python open-source library for statistical methods.
- Statistical methods outperform Amazon’s ML Forecast
What are some alternatives?
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