statsforecast
nixtla
Our great sponsors
| statsforecast | nixtla | |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | 8 | |
| 3,540 | 1,411 | |
| 3.9% | 12.5% | |
| 8.9 | 9.5 | |
| 7 days ago | 7 days ago | |
| Python | Jupyter Notebook | |
| Apache License 2.0 | GNU General Public License v3.0 or later |
Stars - the number of stars that a project has on GitHub. Growth - month over month growth in stars.
Activity is a relative number indicating how actively a project is being developed. Recent commits have higher weight than older ones.
For example, an activity of 9.0 indicates that a project is amongst the top 10% of the most actively developed projects that we are tracking.
statsforecast
-
TimeGPT-1
I can't find the TimeGPT-1 model.
LICENSE Apache-2
https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast/blob/main/LICENSE
Mentions ARIMA, ETS, CES, and Theta modeling
- Facebook Prophet: library for generating forecasts from any time series data
-
Sales forecast for next two years
If you only have historical data: StatsForecast
-
Time series and cross validation
I also recommend you check Nixtla's libraries, in particular StatsForecast and HierarchicalForecast. They offer a wide selection of forecasting models, and can work with multiple time series. Given that you're working with many products in a warehouse, I think the hierarchical forecast can be very useful, especially for the short time series (the ones that don't seem to have enough time stamps).
-
Demand Planning
If you are mostly worried about time and use python you could try out Nixtla's statsforecast as it is very snappy. https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast
-
Statistical vs Machine Learning vs Deep Learning Modeling for Time Series Forecasting
I was researching about using deep learning for time series forecasting applications when I came across two experiments by the Nixtla team. They showed that their traditional statistical ensemble (comprised of AutoARIMA, ETS, CES, and DynamicOptimizedTheta) beat a bunch of deep learning models (link) and also the AWS forecast API (link).
-
Recommendations for books on working with time series/forecasting problems?
- https://nixtla.github.io/statsforecast/
-
XGBoost for time series
Leaving these two repos here for anyone interested in trying decision tree regression or statistical forecasting baselines: - https://nixtla.github.io/mlforecast/ - https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast
-
[Discussion] Amazon's AutoML vs. open source statistical methods
In this reproducible experiment, we compare Amazon Forecast and StatsForecast a python open-source library for statistical methods.
- Statistical methods outperform Amazon’s ML Forecast
nixtla
-
Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Series
I do not have a horse in the race, but it is interesting to see open source comparisons to traditional timeseries strategies: https://github.com/Nixtla/nixtla/tree/main/experiments/amazo...
In general, the M-Competitions (https://forecasters.org/resources/time-series-data/), the olympics of timeseries forecasting, have proven frustrating for ML methods... linear models do shockingly well and the ML models that have won, generally seem to be variants of older tree-based methods (ie. LightGBM is a favorite).
Will be interesting to see whether the Transformer architecture ends up making real progress here.
-
[P] Beware of false (FB-)Prophets: Introducing the fastest implementation of auto ARIMA [ever].
Yes, for example we have this paper in long-horizon settings using our library NeuralForecast and this experiment with other of our libraries MLForecast, both of them outperforming autoarima.
-
[P] Deep Learning for time series forecasting (neuralforecast, python package)
Here we did some comparison with prophet in the zillow real-state dataset https://github.com/Nixtla/nixtla/tree/main/utils/experiments/zillow-prophet
- Is linear regression better than prophet? Zillow benchmark
- Prophet vs. Linear Regression on Real Estate: The Zillow Case
-
Automated Time Series Processing and Forecasting
Users can deploy the pipeline in their cloud quickly. We use terraform (https://github.com/Nixtla/nixtla/tree/main/iac/terraform/aws), so it is very simple to deploy the pipeline on AWS. We are working to release versions of terraform on other clouds such as Azure and Google Cloud.
What are some alternatives?
darts - A python library for user-friendly forecasting and anomaly detection on time series.
mlforecast - Scalable machine 🤖 learning for time series forecasting.
neuralforecast - Scalable and user friendly neural :brain: forecasting algorithms.
pytorch-forecasting - Time series forecasting with PyTorch
tsai - Time series Timeseries Deep Learning Machine Learning Pytorch fastai | State-of-the-art Deep Learning library for Time Series and Sequences in Pytorch / fastai
fable - Tidy time series forecasting
tsfeatures - Calculates various features from time series data. Python implementation of the R package tsfeatures.
flow-forecast - Deep learning PyTorch library for time series forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection (originally for flood forecasting).
nixtlats - Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting.