hierarchicalforecast
statsforecast
hierarchicalforecast | statsforecast | |
---|---|---|
11 | 58 | |
522 | 3,565 | |
2.3% | 2.7% | |
6.7 | 8.9 | |
17 days ago | 6 days ago | |
Python | Python | |
Apache License 2.0 | Apache License 2.0 |
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hierarchicalforecast
- [D] When less is more in the hierarchical forecasting case.
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Time series and cross validation
I also recommend you check Nixtla's libraries, in particular StatsForecast and HierarchicalForecast. They offer a wide selection of forecasting models, and can work with multiple time series. Given that you're working with many products in a warehouse, I think the hierarchical forecast can be very useful, especially for the short time series (the ones that don't seem to have enough time stamps).
- Show HN: Probabilistic hierarchical forecasting with statistical methods
- Sh: Probabilistic hierarchical forecasting with statistical methods
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Probabilistic and nonnegative methods for hierarchical forecasting in python are now available in Nixtla's HierachicalForecast
Repo: https://github.com/Nixtla/hierarchicalforecast Example: https://nixtla.github.io/hierarchicalforecast/examples/australiandomestictourism-intervals.html
- Probabilistic hierarchical reconciliation for time series
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[D] Can anyone explain the MinTrace method for reconciliation of Hierarchical Time Series Forecast?
If you use python take a look to the HierarchicalForecast package.
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[D] Python's library to multivariate time series forecasting: Sktime, modeltime, darts.
Here is the repo for hierarchical methods: https://github.com/nixtla/hierarchicalforecast/
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Time series forecasting model predicts increasing number for target variable when the actual values are zeroes
You can try HierarchicalForecast package to reconciliate predictions.
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[D] What are some statistical packages you use in R that aren't available in Python?
[HierarchicalForecast package](https://github.com/Nixtla/hierarchicalforecast) that mirrors [hts](https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/hts/vignettes/hts.pdf) that is now part of fable. The same with previous comment on efficient implementations of ARIMA and ETS on the [StatsForecast package](https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast).
statsforecast
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TimeGPT-1
I can't find the TimeGPT-1 model.
LICENSE Apache-2
https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast/blob/main/LICENSE
Mentions ARIMA, ETS, CES, and Theta modeling
- Facebook Prophet: library for generating forecasts from any time series data
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Sales forecast for next two years
If you only have historical data: StatsForecast
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Time series and cross validation
I also recommend you check Nixtla's libraries, in particular StatsForecast and HierarchicalForecast. They offer a wide selection of forecasting models, and can work with multiple time series. Given that you're working with many products in a warehouse, I think the hierarchical forecast can be very useful, especially for the short time series (the ones that don't seem to have enough time stamps).
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Demand Planning
If you are mostly worried about time and use python you could try out Nixtla's statsforecast as it is very snappy. https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast
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Statistical vs Machine Learning vs Deep Learning Modeling for Time Series Forecasting
I was researching about using deep learning for time series forecasting applications when I came across two experiments by the Nixtla team. They showed that their traditional statistical ensemble (comprised of AutoARIMA, ETS, CES, and DynamicOptimizedTheta) beat a bunch of deep learning models (link) and also the AWS forecast API (link).
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Recommendations for books on working with time series/forecasting problems?
- https://nixtla.github.io/statsforecast/
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XGBoost for time series
Leaving these two repos here for anyone interested in trying decision tree regression or statistical forecasting baselines: - https://nixtla.github.io/mlforecast/ - https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast
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[Discussion] Amazon's AutoML vs. open source statistical methods
In this reproducible experiment, we compare Amazon Forecast and StatsForecast a python open-source library for statistical methods.
- Statistical methods outperform Amazon’s ML Forecast
What are some alternatives?
hts - Hierarchical and Grouped Time Series
darts - A python library for user-friendly forecasting and anomaly detection on time series.
atspy - AtsPy: Automated Time Series Models in Python (by @firmai)
mlforecast - Scalable machine 🤖 learning for time series forecasting.
dicomtrolley - Retrieve medical images via WADO, MINT, RAD69 and DICOM-QR
neuralforecast - Scalable and user friendly neural :brain: forecasting algorithms.
recon-cli - Simple command line tool to reconcile datasets
nixtla - Python SDK for TimeGPT, a foundational time series model
tsai - Time series Timeseries Deep Learning Machine Learning Pytorch fastai | State-of-the-art Deep Learning library for Time Series and Sequences in Pytorch / fastai
fable - Tidy time series forecasting
flow-forecast - Deep learning PyTorch library for time series forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection (originally for flood forecasting).
pytorch-forecasting - Time series forecasting with PyTorch