Checking-our-work-data Alternatives

checking-our-work-data reviews and mentions

• What The Polls Say After Trump’s Second Indictment (Trump is on course to beat de Santis and Biden)
  1 project | /r/neoliberal | 20 Jun 2023

  538 track record is really good. That doesn't mean that trump will win 2024 elections, but their polling should be taken seriously.

• [Nate Silver] The Nuggets were hiding in plain sight
  1 project | /r/nba | 18 Jun 2023
• 538's projections have been just as bad as ESPN's when it comes to the Celtics. When the Conference Finals started they had a 53% chance of winning the Finals using the Player-based Forecast, and a 59% chance using the Elo forecast.
  1 project | /r/nba | 30 May 2023
• According to ESPN’s BPI, the Celtics still have a 25.9% chance of making the finals despite being down 0-3
  1 project | /r/nba | 22 May 2023

  Vegas and 538 gave the Heat about a 20% chance of winning, even if Celtics waxed the Heat I think it’s fair to say ESPN’s model was bad. It shouldn’t be that out of touch with Vegas and 538 odds in the long run have proven to be really fricking good in the long run.

• After starting the series with a 3.2% chance to win according to ESPN, they have raised the Heats odds to 35% after taking a 2-0 lead. According to said model Celtics still have a 47% chance of winning the title.
  1 project | /r/nba | 21 May 2023
• The mathematical reason why ESPN's playoff model is so bad.
  1 project | /r/nba | 20 May 2023

  Just going to leave this here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/

• A Brutal Wonk Swap at FiveThirtyEight
  2 projects | /r/neoliberal | 19 May 2023
• If Joel Embiid's Game 7 stinker showed anything, it's that Nikola Jokic was always the rightful MVP
  1 project | /r/nba | 15 May 2023
• Nate Silver: Some personal news
  2 projects | news.ycombinator.com | 2 May 2023

  > Your two paragraphs have no relationship. How it could possibly "turn out" that there's a 5% chance of Trump winning? Was the election run 100 times?

  You can calibrate it by looking at their other election predictions and seeing how generally on target it is.

  https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/

• According to Nate Silver, the polling and predictions blog site 538.com will be effectively dismantled after Disney laid off most of its staff. How will this impact political analysis going forward?
  1 project | /r/PoliticalDiscussion | 26 Apr 2023
• A note from our sponsor - InfluxDB
  www.influxdata.com | 1 May 2024

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