checking-our-work-data
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75 | 117 | |
24 | 16,649 | |
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0.0 | 8.4 | |
over 1 year ago | 1 day ago | |
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 |
Stars - the number of stars that a project has on GitHub. Growth - month over month growth in stars.
Activity is a relative number indicating how actively a project is being developed. Recent commits have higher weight than older ones.
For example, an activity of 9.0 indicates that a project is amongst the top 10% of the most actively developed projects that we are tracking.
checking-our-work-data
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What The Polls Say After Trump’s Second Indictment (Trump is on course to beat de Santis and Biden)
538 track record is really good. That doesn't mean that trump will win 2024 elections, but their polling should be taken seriously.
- [Nate Silver] The Nuggets were hiding in plain sight
- 538's projections have been just as bad as ESPN's when it comes to the Celtics. When the Conference Finals started they had a 53% chance of winning the Finals using the Player-based Forecast, and a 59% chance using the Elo forecast.
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According to ESPN’s BPI, the Celtics still have a 25.9% chance of making the finals despite being down 0-3
Vegas and 538 gave the Heat about a 20% chance of winning, even if Celtics waxed the Heat I think it’s fair to say ESPN’s model was bad. It shouldn’t be that out of touch with Vegas and 538 odds in the long run have proven to be really fricking good in the long run.
- After starting the series with a 3.2% chance to win according to ESPN, they have raised the Heats odds to 35% after taking a 2-0 lead. According to said model Celtics still have a 47% chance of winning the title.
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The mathematical reason why ESPN's playoff model is so bad.
Just going to leave this here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/
- A Brutal Wonk Swap at FiveThirtyEight
- If Joel Embiid's Game 7 stinker showed anything, it's that Nikola Jokic was always the rightful MVP
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Nate Silver: Some personal news
> Your two paragraphs have no relationship. How it could possibly "turn out" that there's a 5% chance of Trump winning? Was the election run 100 times?
You can calibrate it by looking at their other election predictions and seeing how generally on target it is.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/
- According to Nate Silver, the polling and predictions blog site 538.com will be effectively dismantled after Disney laid off most of its staff. How will this impact political analysis going forward?
data
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Mastering Dataset Acquisition: A Comprehensive Guide
FiveThirtyEight Datasets: Datasets related to articles and investigations published by FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight Datasets
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[USMNT] It only took 20 caps for Jesus Ferreira to get double-digit goals. The fastest in #USMNT history.
You of course already know this answer, but just to put it into more perspective. Here are the SPI ranking equivalents to what he did with these 11 goals in Scotland and Switzerland.
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[Effortpost] Advanced stats on which players are contributing the most to the Heat's playoff run.
To answer these questions I decided to look at 538’s RAPTOR ratings. RAPTOR uses player tracking data to estimate how much each player contributes on the offensive and defensive ends. The total RAPTOR score should be something like the “number of points a player contributes to his team’s offense and defense per 100 possessions, relative to a league-average player.” Higher is better, best during the regular season has been Nikola Jokic at +14. You can read more about it here or play with an interactive tool on their website here. I don’t really care about the details of why it’s a good statistic, but it seems pretty helpful and most importantly for my purposes you can download the data here for free.
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Consanguineous marriage percentage per country
EDIT: I came to this data from this repository which has a nice csv collection for machine training.
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USMNT is a European club. How did they do this season?
Looks like we may actually be collectively underrating our guys now. That's an interesting change. Based on SPI (rating = 72.4) we would be:
- Derrick White's WAR over the past season has been ~6.7 according to a composite of various metrics. Derrick White's WAR in the playoffs has been ~0.1 according to RAPTOR. The worst among the main Boston roster
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Nate Silver: Some personal news
Before Disney/ABC get any -ideas-, might be a good chance to get our hands on at least their data[0]!
[0]: https://data.fivethirtyeight.com/
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In honor of Sexual Assault Awareness Month, make sure neither you nor friends harbor any misconceptions about consent
Most young women expect words to be involved when their partner seeks their consent. 43% of young men actually ask for verbal confirmation of consent. Overall, verbal indicators of consent or nonconsent are more common than nonverbal indicators. More open communication also increases the likelihood of orgasm for women.
- CMV: When selecting a movie to watch, the audience's rating is the only thing that matters and the critic's rating is entirely irrelevant.
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Slight majority of people in WA want to leave state, poll finds
DHM does not use an equity sample. Of all polling operations they rank 250 out of 517. Id like to see another pollster https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/blob/master/pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings.csv
What are some alternatives?
worldle
uawardata - The data behind uawardata.com
tidytuesday - Official repo for the #tidytuesday project
ydata-quality - Data Quality assessment with one line of code
quilt - Quilt is a data mesh for connecting people with actionable data
CodeSearchNet - Datasets, tools, and benchmarks for representation learning of code.
Video-Swin-Transformer - This is an official implementation for "Video Swin Transformers".
datagen - Generates customer, sales reps, sales mgrs, products, manufacturer, and transaction data and creates and populates MySQL database with it. Also, can generate single tables of random data.
EconomicTracker - Download data from the Opportunity Insights Economic Tracker — https://tracktherecovery.org/
awesome-public-datasets - A topic-centric list of HQ open datasets.
datasets - 🎁 5,400,000+ Unsplash images made available for research and machine learning
awesome-public-datasets-