Can anyone explain me hierarchical time series forecating?

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  • hts

    Hierarchical and Grouped Time Series

  • Additionally, you could use one of the more complex methods from the aforementioned hts package. This will allow you to make forecasts on all levels of the hierarchy, and use the bootstrapped errors to make adjustments to all forecasts in the hierarchy using a constrained least-squares approach, in order to make all forecasts sum-consistent (make the aggregates of the forecasts equal the forecasts of the aggregates). This allows you to model cannibalisation effects between different products, for example. However for this to work, you'd need quite good models, as the bootstrapped errors are taken as the 'wiggle room' for the adjustments, which means that if you have a badly fitting model, the adjustments might be quite large and no longer make sense (eg. be negative for a sales forecast).

  • InfluxDB

    Power Real-Time Data Analytics at Scale. Get real-time insights from all types of time series data with InfluxDB. Ingest, query, and analyze billions of data points in real-time with unbounded cardinality.

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