Financial Market Applications of LLMs

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  • chronos-forecasting

    Chronos: Pretrained (Language) Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

  • There were some developments using LLMs in the timeseries domain which caught my attention.

    I toyed with the Chronos forecasting toolkit [1], and the results were predictably off by wild margins [2]

    What really caught my eye though was the "feel" of the predicted timeseries -- this is the first time I've seen synthetic timeseries that look like the real thing. Stock charts have a certain quality to them, once you've been looking at them long enough, you can tell more often than not whether some unlabeled data is a stock price timeseries or not. It seems the chronos LLM was able to pick up on that "nature" of the price movement, and replicate it in its forecasts. Impressive!

    1: https://github.com/amazon-science/chronos-forecasting

    2: https://imgur.com/a/hTRQ38d

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