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emerging-trajectories
Open source framework for using LLMs to forecast political, economic, and social events.
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InfluxDB
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For those interested in using search-augmented "reasoning", I implemented something similar in Emerging Trajectories[1], an open source package that forecasts geopolitical and economic events. We extract facts[2] from various websites (Google searches, news articles, RSS feeds) and have the LLM generate a hypothesis on a metric.
We're tracking the info forecasts to see how well this does for future events. For example, we're pitting the LLMs against each other to predict March 2024 CPI[3].
[1] https://emergingtrajectories.com/
[2] Sample code: https://github.com/wgryc/emerging-trajectories/blob/main/eme...
[3] https://emergingtrajectories.com/a/statement/28