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ES-RNN-Pytorch
This is a work in progress Pytorch implementation of the recently proposed ES-RNN by Slawek Smyl, winner of the M4 competition
I use my package https://github.com/alexhallam/tablespoon to generate naive forecasts then evaluate the crps of the naive vs the crps of the alternative method. This “skill score” approach is very good.
Hmmm. A bit strange there is already a M4 competition where a deep learning model won. I know because I reimplemented it as a toy version in python here: https://github.com/leanderloew/ES-RNN-Pytorch
It was actually very cool because the model was a melt of exponential smoothing and dl.