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Rocky is "winning" if by "winning" you mean more widely used. Here are some graphs charting usage through EPEL statistics: https://rocky-stats.tiuxo.com.
The source used to generate the graphs is available at https://github.com/brianclemens/rocky-stats, however please be kind to the Fedora servers and don't download the stats database too often if you use it.
Also Rocky Linux is far larger in terms of community size, etc.
Yes, Gregory Kurtzer personally helped in development (primarily the packaging / tools during 8.3 and then 8.4). I know, I was there lol. For example, see the commit log to the early set of Rocky Linux devtools:
https://github.com/rocky-linux/devtools/commits/main?after=f...
"All he does is talk" is unfairly dismissive. We all have our roles, and Greg's is not release engineering.
The "taking credit" bit is an unfortunate misconception, media likes to attribute the entire project to gmk since he's a notable personality, but he himself does not.
Rocky Linux has migration scripts available at https://github.com/rocky-linux/rocky-tools/tree/main/migrate...
An easy shortcut though, in case you have to hand type it out somewhere, is https://rockylinux.org/migrate2rocky.sh
AlmaLinux uses their own secure boot certificate, as noted in their last shim-review: https://github.com/rhboot/shim-review/issues/235