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> If you assume another sevenfold increase over the past 5 years, then they should have around 250 million commits now.
Decent guess. Rate's gone up; they're at about 382 million now. [1] You can see the current number in the PiperOrigin-RevId: on several public repositories that get changes synced from Google's internal Piper.
I'm not looking at that paper (as I'm about to walk out the door); one thing to check is if the number there includes just the actual commits or also the pending CL numbers (same concept as Perforce). The number I'm quoting includes both.
[1] https://github.com/google/tcmalloc/commit/6f42c40d6ebcf2aeb8...
I generally use the build number from ci for the tag, and add the git commit and repo URL as a label/annotation (following https://github.com/opencontainers/image-spec/blob/main/annot...)
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