darts
statsforecast
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darts | statsforecast | |
---|---|---|
47 | 58 | |
7,232 | 3,540 | |
2.6% | 3.9% | |
9.1 | 8.9 | |
8 days ago | 3 days ago | |
Python | Python | |
Apache License 2.0 | Apache License 2.0 |
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Activity is a relative number indicating how actively a project is being developed. Recent commits have higher weight than older ones.
For example, an activity of 9.0 indicates that a project is amongst the top 10% of the most actively developed projects that we are tracking.
darts
- Darts: Python lib for forecasting and anomaly detection on time series
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[D] Doubts on the implementation of LSTMs for timeseries prediction (like including weather forecasts)
Don't use an LSTM. Get up to date with SoTA methods and read the papers in the field. LSTMs are not the way forward. Read the papers I suggested. It would be very useful to come to grips with both the Time Series Repository (https://github.com/thuml/Time-Series-Library) and Darts (https://github.com/unit8co/darts) as these are widely used for research and in industry.
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Facebook Prophet: library for generating forecasts from any time series data
As others have pointed out, Prophet is not a particularly good model for forecasting, and has been superseded by a multitude of other models. If you want to do time series forecasting, I'd recommend using Darts: https://github.com/unit8co/darts. Darts implements a wide range of models and is fairly easy to use.
The problem with time series forecasting in general is that they make a lot of assumptions on the shape of your data, and you'll find you're spending a lot of time figuring out mutating your data. For example, they expect that your data comes at a very regular interval. This is fine if it's, say, the data from a weather station. This doesn't work well in clinical settings (imagine a patient admitted into the ER -- there is a burst of data, followed by no data).
That said, there's some interesting stuff out there that I've been experimenting with that seems to be more tolerant of irregular time series and can be quite useful. If you're interested in exchanging ideas, drop me a line (email in my profile).
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Elevate Your Python Skills: Machine Learning Packages That Transformed My Journey as ML Engineer
3. darts
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Aeon: A unified framework for machine learning with time series
Looking forward to checking this out! How does this compare with darts[1]?
[1] https://unit8co.github.io/darts/
- [D] Hybrid forecasting framework ARIMA-LSTM
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[D] Do any of you have experience using Darts for forecasting?
Darts is an open-source Python library by Unit8 for easy handling, pre-processing, and forecasting of time series. It contains an array of models, from standard statistical models such as ARIMA to deep neural networks. https://unit8co.github.io/darts/
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gluonts VS darts - a user suggested alternative
2 projects | 13 Apr 2023
active support
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A Simple Guide to Feature Engineering in the Forecast Menu
The new Forecast menu, featuring the open-source Darts Time Series library, offers script-friendly functionality. It's also easy to use. Don't have any data to load yet? Enter through the Stocks or Crypto menus.
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Ask HN: Data Scientists, what libraries do you use for timeseries forecasting?
I would recommend Darts in Python [1]. It's easy to use (think fit()/predict()) and includes
* Statistical models (ETS, (V)ARIMA(X), etc)
* ML models (sklearn models, LGBM, etc)
* Many recent deep learning models (N-BEATS, TFT, etc)
* Seamlessly works on multi-dimensional series
* Models can be trained on multiple series
* Many models offer rich support for probabilistic forecasts
* Model evaluation is easy: Darts has many metrics, offers backtest etc
* Deep learning scales to large datasets, using GPUs, TPUs, etc
* There's even now an explainability module for some of the models - showing you what matters for computing the forecasts
* (coming soon): an anomaly detection module :)
* (also, it even include FB Prophet if you really want to use it)
Warning: I'm probably biased because I'm Darts creator.
[1] https://github.com/unit8co/darts
statsforecast
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TimeGPT-1
I can't find the TimeGPT-1 model.
LICENSE Apache-2
https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast/blob/main/LICENSE
Mentions ARIMA, ETS, CES, and Theta modeling
- Facebook Prophet: library for generating forecasts from any time series data
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Sales forecast for next two years
If you only have historical data: StatsForecast
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Time series and cross validation
I also recommend you check Nixtla's libraries, in particular StatsForecast and HierarchicalForecast. They offer a wide selection of forecasting models, and can work with multiple time series. Given that you're working with many products in a warehouse, I think the hierarchical forecast can be very useful, especially for the short time series (the ones that don't seem to have enough time stamps).
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Demand Planning
If you are mostly worried about time and use python you could try out Nixtla's statsforecast as it is very snappy. https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast
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Statistical vs Machine Learning vs Deep Learning Modeling for Time Series Forecasting
I was researching about using deep learning for time series forecasting applications when I came across two experiments by the Nixtla team. They showed that their traditional statistical ensemble (comprised of AutoARIMA, ETS, CES, and DynamicOptimizedTheta) beat a bunch of deep learning models (link) and also the AWS forecast API (link).
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Recommendations for books on working with time series/forecasting problems?
- https://nixtla.github.io/statsforecast/
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XGBoost for time series
Leaving these two repos here for anyone interested in trying decision tree regression or statistical forecasting baselines: - https://nixtla.github.io/mlforecast/ - https://github.com/Nixtla/statsforecast
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[Discussion] Amazon's AutoML vs. open source statistical methods
In this reproducible experiment, we compare Amazon Forecast and StatsForecast a python open-source library for statistical methods.
- Statistical methods outperform Amazon’s ML Forecast
What are some alternatives?
sktime - A unified framework for machine learning with time series
mlforecast - Scalable machine 🤖 learning for time series forecasting.
pytorch-forecasting - Time series forecasting with PyTorch
neuralforecast - Scalable and user friendly neural :brain: forecasting algorithms.
Prophet - Tool for producing high quality forecasts for time series data that has multiple seasonality with linear or non-linear growth.
nixtla - Python SDK for TimeGPT, a foundational time series model
Kats - Kats, a kit to analyze time series data, a lightweight, easy-to-use, generalizable, and extendable framework to perform time series analysis, from understanding the key statistics and characteristics, detecting change points and anomalies, to forecasting future trends.
tsai - Time series Timeseries Deep Learning Machine Learning Pytorch fastai | State-of-the-art Deep Learning library for Time Series and Sequences in Pytorch / fastai
fable - Tidy time series forecasting
flow-forecast - Deep learning PyTorch library for time series forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection (originally for flood forecasting).