covid-19-excess-deaths-tracker VS excess-mortality

The economist has been tracking this for a while: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-...

The claims about motorcycle deaths counting as covid deaths were what the deniers were spreading at the time.

We now look back at excess mortality to know how many extra people died: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-...

The economist has a detailed breakdown that might be easier to follow

Old/general tracker across several countries 2021: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker

Average of 16 years of life lost to covid: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-83040-3 Drop in life expectancy of nearly 2 years in the US: https://www.bmj.com/content/373/bmj.n1343 Countries with big outbreaks all have significantly increased mortality: https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/excess-mortality-across-countries-in-2020/ and https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker US went from 2.85 million deaths to 3.35million deaths in one year: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7014e1.htm US has 5̶4̶0̶k̶+̶ ̶6̶3̶0̶k̶+̶ ̶7̶0̶0̶k̶+̶ 760k+ covid deaths with covid listed as the underlying cause on death certificates 90%+ of the time: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/mortality-overview.htm Over 140,000 children have lost a caregiver due to covid19 in the US, 5+ million globally https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)01253-8/fulltext

Might it be possible, just maybe, that the figures reported from other areas of the world are not quite accurate- either from lack of resources or willful manipulation of data? Here's an article from that renowned liberal bastion 'The Economist' about excess mortality rates worldwide: Excess mortality

Excess deaths in Russia were really high in late 2020/early 2021 and likely COVID related. The actual COVID death toll was estimated at over 1 million, source. Per-capita death rates were 2-3 times that of the US and western Europe.

If you follow the second link in my previous comment, you will find the data I'm referring to. Depending on what methodology you prefer, Sweden either has the lowest excess mortality in the OECD (lower than Australia and New Zealand), or a very low excess mortality in any case. We don't have any reliable data for China or Vietnam (for obvious reasons), but Taiwan is included in the World Mortality Dataset, even though it's not in the graph. There it has higher excess mortality than Sweden, but it's lower as a percent of the annual baseline.

The source of this data is the excellent work by Karlinsky & Kobak which computes excess mortality using a linear extrapolation of the 2015–19 trend using authoritative sources (e.g. WHO), and all the source code is publicly available in GitHub: dkobak/excess-mortality.

It is well established by now that excess deaths match Covid waves, by now.

Visualization is mine. Source of data is: https://github.com/dkobak/excess-mortality/blob/main/excess-mortality.csv

Source. You can follow links in there to data and code.

For other countries, or for the world as a whole, excess death counts are a good statistic that indicates causality (either direct or indirect), as opposed to deaths of people who merely also happened to be infected. My own go-to source for this measurement is github.com/dkobak/excess-mortality.

Russia has extraordinarily high number of excess deaths in 2021 (government is lying about official numbers of COVID deaths) source. They lost 1 000 000 people last year (officially "only" 250k). These are numbers before Omicron.